Global Temperatures Nosedive!

The credibility of Global Warming Alarmism is taking a serious hit at the moment, with reports of extreme winter conditions in many Northern Hemisphere countries, and Global Mean Temperatures taking a nosedive over the last 12 months in all the main datasets, while CO2 levels continue to rise.  

With solar activity showing no signs of increasing for perhaps the next year or longer (we do not appear to have reached solar minimum yet), and the ongoing strong La Nina in the Pacific that is likewise showing no signs of going away soon, I expect global temperatures in all these datasets will continue to show a cooling trend for the foreseeable future.

In his Watts Up With That blog, Anthony Watts examined each of the main datasets as the Jan 08 results came out – I am presenting Anthony’s graphs below beneath a headline linking to the accompanying article on Anthony’s blog.

RSS Satellite data for Jan08: 2nd coldest January for the planet in 15 years:

RSS satellite temps to Jan 2008

And the last few years in detail:

RSS satellite temps to Jan 2008 recent detail

UAH Satellite data for Jan08 in agreement with RSS data:

UAH satellite temps to Jan 2008

And the last few years in detail:

UAH satellite temps to Jan 2008 recent detail

GISS Land-Ocean Index dives in Jan08, exceeding drops for UAH and RSS satellite data:

GISS satellite temps to Jan 2008

Another Global Temp Index Dives in Jan08, this time HadCRUT:

HadCRUT satellite temps to Jan 2008

The AGW Scam and the IPCC

I am somewhat passionate about weather and climate, and came to the whole AGW thing as a greenie who thought humans were having a negative impact on the Earth’s climate – and I still think humans are having some impact via deforestation, land use changes, and pollution – but anyway, it seemed like a good idea to have a better look at the science, because some of stuff in the media started sounding so extreme that I knew it was bovine excreta!

Having spent a lot of time in the past few years reading scientific papers and reports, I have come to the conclusion that climate science has been hijacked by a small group of prominent greenie zealots who have managed to hoodwink the majority of the climate science community with a curious mix of poor science combined with a well-oiled publicity machine and backing from powerful lobby groups.

Part of what I have learned is that the science aspect of the IPCC is controlled by a minority ‘elite’ of climate scientists who appear to simply ignore any science that does not fit their preconceptions. The primary authors in many sections either wrote or co-authored many of the papers that are featured prominently in the same science section – this is how Michael Mann managed to get his flawed hockey stick to feature so strongly in an earlier IPCC report – and nothing has changed since, so primary chapter authors are still able to rubber stamp their own or their immediate colleagues work for inclusion, and improve their profile and citation rates in the process.

In any other field, basic ground rules are built in to limit the potential for damage that could be done if personal agendas and preconceptions were otherwise allowed to supplant the scientific method, and this type of incestuousness in preparing scientific reports would be considered as very bad practice if not outright fraud, but hey … welcome to the Brave New World where executing the agenda is all important … this is not ordinary science, this is climate science!

Everyone who contributed to IPCC reports, whether as an author or as a reviewer, was bound by non-disclosure agreements that did not permit them to comment in public on the contents until after the release of the science documents, which was done many months after the (political) Summary for Policymakers had been and gone from the media spotlight, giving the IPCC time to tweak the science content to match the (political) Summary document.

The so-called consensus of 2500 IPCC scientists is an outright lie.

The real core of the scientific consensus is the group of a few dozen climate scientists and their co-authors who also tightly controlled the science content to suit their agendas. The total number of scientists involved as authors contributing papers and reviewers was as matter of hundreds not thousands – and the majority of both authors and reviewers were for the most part ignored or treated like nuisances.

The vast majority of those claimed as ‘2500 IPCC scientists’ were not scientists at all, but were either volunteers from various backgrounds (anyone whether scientifically trained or not could volunteer to be an IPCC reviewer) or were political appointees and their advisors who had a degree of editorial control over the content requiring many rewrites of specific wording to suit the agendas of various governments, agencies, and NGO’s.

Many other scientists who are far too busy in their own areas to have time to examine the science are oblivious to the incestuous nature of the IPCC and have since jumped on board the ‘consensus’ bandwagon, the prevailing wisdom being “if it passed the review process it must be OK”. Many are also completely unaware of the fact that there is no independent examination of the methodologies and data, no quality control, and no accountability measures.

Further, there is a huge gravy train of taxpayers funds for ‘true believers’ that in many cases suddenly dries up if one bucks the ‘consensus’, thus placing great pressure on scientists to conform to the agenda.

The partial release of the reviewers comments is most enlightening – these comments were only grudgingly released after months of intense pressure for disclosure and mounting numbers of FOI requests that eventually forced the the IPCC to comply with it’s own guidelines that state quite clearly that all reviewers comments are to be made publicly available at minimal cost.

The initial ‘public’ release (in clear contravention of IPCC guidelines) was as a single printed copy on paper placed in a private US university where one had to actually get to the uni and make arrangements to view specific requested documents, or to somehow arrange for specific pages to be copied at an exorbitant rate to be posted by snail mail (quite difficult to ask for specific pages if you do not know what is in them), and with a strict limit on the number of pages one could copy either way.

Further pressure and FOI requests eventually saw the IPCC cave in and post an electronic copy on the internet, however you can only access it by first agreeing to some fancy lawyer lingo that amounts to an agreement not to disclose the contents – see for yourself – the comments portal is here.

The comments are worth a read – many of the reviewers criticisms were simply fobbed off with one liners that contain no answers to specific issues raised, and for the most part no credible explanation as to why the criticism is being ignored, showing just how blatant the control of content by the ‘elite’ really is.

The final review comments from the chapter authors are still not available, and it seems that more pressure and FOI requests will be needed to lever these out of the IPCC for public scrutiny (even though they are supposed be available under IPCC rules) – if they have nothing to hide, why do they expend so much time and energy trying to keep the comments hidden?

One does not have to dig too deeply into the IPCC and the science documents to realize that everything I wrote above is true – but do not just take my word for it – talk is cheap – you will not know if you do not spend enough time looking for yourself!

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